National · 2026
The Grandstand
Midterms are usually a verdict on the president. Voters asked which party they'd back for Congress favor Democrats by 7.3 points, with 15 days to go; in the last midterm under a Republican president, 2018, Democrats won the national House vote by 8.6.
Updated
Click any mark to see exactly where its number comes from. ★ = incumbent.
Generic ballot today
D+7.3
5 pollsters in the last 45 days · other averages D+7.8 to D+9.0
Donald Trump's net approval
−27.8
35.2% approve · 17 pollsters in the last 45 days · other averages −31.0 to −19.9
The president's party in past midterms
Lost 3 of 3
national House vote, 2014, 2018, 2022 · 15 days to go
Generic congressional ballot Democratic minus Republican, in points
Polling average
Fewer than 5 pollsters (low confidence, dashed)
Individual polls
Poll by a one-party firm (counts ¾; hollow)
Other aggregators' averages today (range)
Past midterms' actual House vote
Other averages today (bar at right): Decision Desk HQ D+7.8 · NBC News D+8.0 · RealClearPolitics D+8.2 · FiftyPlusOne D+8.5 · Silver Bulletin D+9.0 · tabulated on Wikipedia
Donald Trump's job approval approve minus disapprove, in points
Polling average
Fewer than 5 pollsters (low confidence, dashed)
Individual polls
Poll by a one-party firm (counts ¾; hollow)
Other aggregators' averages today (range)
Other averages today (bar at right): CNN −31.0 · The Economist −27.0 · FiftyPlusOne −26.5 · The New York Times −24.0 · Silver Bulletin −22.3 · Ballotpedia −22.0 · NBC News −22.0 · Real Clear Politics −20.7 · Decision Desk HQ −19.9 · tabulated on Wikipedia
Polling data: VoteHub, licensed CC BY 4.0. Campaign finance: Federal Election Commission.