Senate & House · since Apr 1, 2026
Late Money
When a race moves, do donors follow? Each panel is one competitive race: the line is the polling margin of whoever led in spring, and the ribbon around it is daily donations — the early leader's above, the trailer's below. Thicker means more money per day.
Updated
Click any mark to see exactly where its number comes from. ★ = incumbent.
Polling margin of the early leader
Ribbon above: early leader's daily donations
Ribbon below: early trailer's daily donations
Dashed: that campaign hasn't reported yet
Grey: neither campaign has reported yet
$10K/day
$25K/day
$50K/day
$100K/day
· dark edge = more than $124K/day
Comebacks
The early trailer took the lead.
NE-01
now Backemeyer (D) +4.0
Early leader: Mike Flood (R★)
Daily donations: Flood $1.6K → $3.5K/day (+119%) · Backemeyer $1.2K → $4.8K/day (+292%)
Michigan Senate
now El-Sayed (D) +3.0
Early leader: Mike Rogers (R)
Daily donations: Rogers $23.9K → $94.9K/day (+297%) · El-Sayed $50.2K → $333K/day (+563%)
Iowa Senate
now Turek (D) +0.5
Early leader: Ashley Hinson (R)
Daily donations: Hinson $14.8K → $24.9K/day (+69%) · Turek $15.2K → $134K/day (+783%)
Leads that shrank
The early leader lost ground but is still ahead.
Arkansas Senate
now Cotton (R★) +9.7
Early leader: Tom Cotton (R★)
Daily donations: Cotton $6K → $5.5K/day (−9%) · Shoffner $7.5K → $15.3K/day (+105%)
Florida Senate
now Moody (R★) +6.0
Early leader: Ashley Moody (R★)
Daily donations: Moody $24.8K → $29.2K/day (+18%) · Nixon $4.5K → $114K/day (+2435%)
Alaska Senate
now Peltola (D) +0.6
Early leader: Mary Peltola (D)
Daily donations: Peltola $67.6K → $203K/day (+200%) · Sullivan $17.4K → $25.8K/day (+48%)
NY-17
now Conley (D) +2.0
Early leader: Cait Conley (D)
Daily donations: Conley $9.4K → $54.6K/day (+480%) · Lawler $9.3K → $11.6K/day (+25%)
Pulling away
The early leader's margin grew.
Ohio Senate
now Brown (D) +3.8
Early leader: Sherrod Brown (D)
Daily donations: Brown $101K → $224K/day (+123%) · Husted $15.1K → $36.8K/day (+144%)
New Hampshire Senate
now Pappas (D) +7.2
Early leader: Chris Pappas (D)
Daily donations: Pappas $33.7K → $136K/day (+303%) · Sununu $7.3K → $17.8K/day (+143%)
Georgia Senate
now Ossoff (D★) +9.5
Early leader: Jon Ossoff (D★)
Daily donations: Ossoff $109K → $320K/day (+194%) · Collins $7.4K → $25.9K/day (+249%)
AK at-large
now Begich (R★) +10.0
Early leader: Nick Begich III (R★)
Daily donations: Begich $7.2K → $10.4K/day (+44%) · Hill $4.2K → $15.4K/day (+272%)
TX-15
now Pulido (D) +13.0
Early leader: Bobby Pulido (D)
Daily donations: Pulido $13.4K → $23K/day (+72%) · Cruz $9.7K → $11.7K/day (+21%)
Holding
Within a few points of where it started.
Minnesota Senate
now Flanagan (D) +4.0
Early leader: Peggy Flanagan (D)
Daily donations: Flanagan $15.1K → $50.2K/day (+232%) · Tafoya $26.2K → $52.7K/day (+101%)
Kansas Senate
now Marshall (R★) +0.1
Early leader: Adam Hamilton (D)
Daily donations: Hamilton $29K → $108K/day (+272%) · Marshall $5K → $8.5K/day (+71%)
North Carolina Senate
now Cooper (D) +10.5
Early leader: Roy Cooper (D)
Daily donations: Cooper $27.8K → $48.4K/day (+74%) · Whatley $20.4K → $17.8K/day (−12%)
Maine Senate
now Jackson (D) +2.4
Early leader: Troy Jackson (D)
Daily donations: Jackson $226K/day · Collins $29K → $44.7K/day (+54%)
KY-06
now Dembo (D) +6.3
Early leader: Zach Dembo (D)
Daily donations: Dembo $4.2K → $14.8K/day (+257%) · Alvarado $12.6K → $5.9K/day (−53%)
NY-21
now Gendebien (D) +4.0
Early leader: Blake Gendebien (D)
Daily donations: Gendebien $5.4K → $17.8K/day (+228%) · Constantino $0 → $0/day
Texas Senate
now Talarico (D) +1.4
Early leader: James Talarico (D)
Daily donations: Talarico $282K → $619K/day (+119%) · Paxton $16.5K → $111K/day (+574%)
Mississippi Senate
now Hyde-Smith (R★) +4.0
Early leader: Cindy Hyde-Smith (R★)
Daily donations: Hyde-Smith $3.2K → $7K/day (+120%) · Colom $7.3K → $14.4K/day (+98%)
OH-07
now Poindexter (D) +8.0
Early leader: Brian Poindexter (D)
Daily donations: Poindexter $5.3K → $26.8K/day (+404%) · Miller $3.9K → $1.6K/day (−59%)
Compare with Down the Stretch, which pairs the same polling movement with all money in the race, including outside spending. Most campaigns' donations are reported through Sep 30, 2026; the shaded stretch fills in as third-quarter and pre-general reports are processed.
Polling data: VoteHub, licensed CC BY 4.0. Campaign finance: Federal Election Commission.